Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.165450 0.188760 0.214715 0.245851 0.282312 0.323804 0.374807
2025-12-21 0.127951 0.158582 0.196123 0.245936 0.310921 0.393683 0.508442
2025-12-28 0.108354 0.142546 0.187486 0.251777 0.342871 0.469587 0.663252
2026-01-04 0.094375 0.130082 0.179678 0.255054 0.369326 0.540457 0.824732
2026-01-11 0.084118 0.120558 0.173583 0.258452 0.394910 0.613051 1.003765
2026-01-18 0.076921 0.114119 0.170538 0.265164 0.425730 0.698486 1.223210
2026-01-25 0.069858 0.106770 0.164803 0.266204 0.446690 0.770516 1.435652
2026-02-01 0.063755 0.100067 0.159028 0.265955 0.464816 0.840229 1.660612
2026-02-08 0.058168 0.093488 0.152521 0.263242 0.477586 0.901732 1.884188
2026-02-15 0.053264 0.087472 0.146180 0.259761 0.488010 0.960137 2.116329
2026-02-22 0.050432 0.084687 0.145108 0.265858 0.518264 1.065652 2.489473
2026-03-01 0.046532 0.079595 0.139258 0.261782 0.526589 1.124598 2.763736
2026-03-08 0.043669 0.076158 0.136212 0.263152 0.547478 1.218301 3.165747
2026-03-15 0.040897 0.072628 0.132620 0.262941 0.564958 1.308251 3.590891
2026-03-22 0.039117 0.070791 0.132109 0.269201 0.598634 1.447045 4.217393
2026-03-29 0.037216 0.068529 0.130478 0.272732 0.626356 1.577008 4.869651
2026-04-05 0.035498 0.066460 0.129009 0.276402 0.655126 1.717282 5.619791
2026-04-12 0.034240 0.065194 0.129075 0.283656 0.694688 1.899658 6.613438
2026-04-19 0.032567 0.062920 0.126734 0.284780 0.717908 2.038756 7.507488
2026-04-26 0.030924 0.060568 0.123981 0.284511 0.737247 2.171115 8.444563
2026-05-03 0.029221 0.057944 0.120365 0.281579 0.748399 2.279724 9.336712
2026-05-10 0.027599 0.055366 0.116613 0.277817 0.756479 2.380470 10.252112
2026-05-17 0.026790 0.054504 0.116748 0.284406 0.797847 2.614271 11.996831